Latest Articles

Stock Market Returns (ca. 6.75%+ per annum)

(Historical) Stock Market Returns

Many might be surprised to learn, however, that since about 1800, stocks have consistently returned an average of 6.5 to 7.0 percent per year (after inflation). In 2001, the market capitalization of...

...the companies that made up the S&P 500 was about USD ...

(High) Inflation & the US-Stock Market

(HIGH) Inflation & the US-Stock Market

Let's recheck how the Stock Market did in the high-Inflation era (mainly) of the 70s. To begin with, the historical data provided by portfoliovisualizer showed an average inflation number of ca. 9.2% from the years...

Inflation & Stock Market in the 70s (20th century)

...1973 until 1981. In these ...

AAII Investor Sentiment bullish < 16%

 AAII-Bulls reading < 16%
(14th April 2022)

US Investor Sentiment, % Bullish is an indicator that is a part of the AAII Sentiment Survey. It indicates the percentage of investors surveyed that had a bullish outlook on the market. An investor that is bullish, will primarily think that...

AAII Sentiment Bullish Low April 2022


Bitcoin (Pot. Magic, if CLOSE > 45.555 $)

Bitcoin (Magic, if Daily CLOSE > 45k $)

Let's see, if Bitcoin can close this week above 45,555 $. If BTC can also manage a 3Day-Close above 45,555 $ by tomorrow, Monday, that could mark a real bullish Signal - in my view:

BTC magic 44.5k (Apirl 2022)

For the moment the BITCOIN-chart- above looks very interesting. By ...

AAII-Bulls reading < 20%

AAII-Bulls reading < 20%
Feb 2022)

Die Geschichte der AAII-Befragungen zeigt uns, dass einer sehr geringe Bullenquote unter den Teilnehmern oft eine positive 12-Monatsperformance im S&P 500 folgt:

AAII-Bulls (16th Feb. 2022)

Am Mittwoch, 16. Feb. 2022, wurde von AAII eine geringe Bullenquote von 19,2% registriert, ...

S&P 500 "Fair-Value Model" (Cost of Capital ca. 8%)

S&P 500 Fair Value in the year 2022 and 2023

The foundational paper on valuation that professors Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani (M&M) wrote in 1961. In it, they addressed a fundamental question: "What does the market ‘really’ capitalize?" They did not crown a winner...


...among ...

DAX-Potenzial im Jahr 2022

DAX-Potenzial im Jahr 2022
(Status: 28. Dez. 2021)

Der DAX könnte seinen Aufwärtstrend 2022 fortsetzen und auf > 17.200 Indexpunkte steigen, SOFERN die DAX-Gewinnerwartungen von ca. 1.200 auch erreicht werden...

DAX-2022 (Szenario) - 28. Dez. 2021

Die Prognose der Societe Generale-Bank, dass der Trend der DAX-Gewinnerwartungen ...

AAII - Sentiment (15th & 22nd Sep. 2021)

AAII Investment Survey
(15th & 22nd September 2021)

Since 1987, AAII members have been answering the same simple question each week. The results are compiled into the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, which offers insight into the mood of individual investors. Optimism experiened...

AAII Bulls (status Mid-Sep. 2021)...a pretty ...

Audius / Crypto is still not dead

Audius / Crypto is still not dead

A streaming-platform with free access and some good music; The Token: "AUDIO"

Enjoy the vibes ;-)

cheers Ralph