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Dividend Discount Model S&P 500 (potential fair value)

Dividend Discount Model S&P 500
(potential fair valuation / UPDATE)

In Oct. and November 2018 the U.S. 10Year-Treasuries reached a yield of ca. 3.25%. Reminder: Around Christmas Eve in 2018 the S&P 500 reached then its intermediary LOW at around a level of ca. 2,336 points...(I did not...


1954, -58, -85, -89 (S&P 500 in 2020?)

years 1954, -58, -85, -89 (S&P 500 in 2020?)
US-Stock Market History

With an open mind and the current FED-Policy one even has to think about the "unthinkable". Let's take a look at similar  historical "Advance/Decline Breadth"-Trends on a monthly basis and the year after - the...

year 1989
Stock Market in the year 1989
In ...

Profitabilitäts-Kennzahlen (USA vs. Rest)

Profitabilitäts-Kennzahlen (USA vs. Rest)

Aus dem aktuellen "JP Morgan-2020 Bericht" lassen sich interessante Einsichten gewinnen. Hier eine starke Aussage, unterlegt mit Zahlen. USA-Unternehmen sind einfach extrem profitabel, versus Europa beispielsweise.

ROA, ROE 2019

Es wird spannend werden, ob der ...

Valuation matters (2019 versus 1999)

Valuation matters

Price/Sales Ratios year 2019 versus 1999
Here below some selected stocks
(check this out ;-)

PS-Ratios (2019 vs. 1999)

S&P 500 > 3k (Status-Quo: 16. Dez. 2019)

S&P 500
Support beim psychologischen Level 3k

Hier ein "nice picture vom US-amerikanischen Aktienindex" - geliefert von

SnP500 16. Dez. 2019 (Prime Quants)

Resumé: Einem spannenden Aktienjahr 2020 steht somit - VORERST - Nix im Wege...

1928 - Nov. 2019 (nearly +10% p.a.)

1928 - Nov. 2019 (nearly +10% p.a.)

Interesting insight into the annual returns/decades from the year 1928 onwards:

SnP500 Performance 1928 bis 2019 (Status: Nov. 2019)

>> fascinating. Please take a look at the easy period 1978 (my birthyear) until 1999!

Quantitative Momentum (Quarter-ending months)

"Quantitative Momentum: A Practitioner's Guide to Building a Momentum-Based..."
(Authors: Wesley R. Gray, Jack R. Vogel)

Quarter-ending months generally have the highest returns when comparing low and high momentum portfolios. Once momentum-profits are...

Momentum Seasonality (1927 - Dec. 2014)

...the largest in ...

Mohnish Pabrai (gr8 insights)

Mohnish Pabrai (gr8 insights)

Interviewer-Question: You humbly call yourself a "cloner" of other fund managers. How can we learn to follow Buffett and Munger's footsteps?

Mohnish Pabrai (Nov. 2019)

Pabrai: "Warren and Charlie have been very generous as they have shared a lot of their wisdom in the public domain. The ...

Stoxx 600 (Nov. 2019)

Stoxx Europe 600

Der Stoxx Europe 600, einer der wichtigsten Referenzindizes Europas und das Gegenstück zum S&P 500, befindet sich in der Nähe vom neuen Allzeithoch. Nachdem der Index bereits vier...

Stoxx Europe 600 (LT-Chart, Tough Resistance, Nov. 2019)

...Mal -2000, 2007, 2015 und 2017 - am 400-Punkte-Widerstand abgeprallt war, beendete das ...