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GOLD - Basiswissen (Sep. 2016)

Was hat den Gold-Kurs derart stark getrieben im bisherigen Jahresverlauf 2016? Inzwischen gibt es dafür eine simple Antwort: die Nachfrage. Nun mag das vielleicht banal klingen, weil doch fast immer Angebot und Nachfrage an der Börse den Preis bestimmen.

Goldnachfrage nach Verwendungszweck (Q3-2015 - Q2-2016)

Doch (auch im obigen Schaubild) gibt es mittlerweile konkrete Zahlen dazu, die ich nicht vorenthalten will:

Nachfrage auf Rekordkurs

So wurden im Zeitraum von Januar bis März 2016 insgesamt ca. 1.290 Tonnen (t) des Edelmetalls nachgefragt und damit 21 Prozent mehr als im Vorjahreszeitraum (1.070,4 t) ...

GOLD - Seasonality (30year-range)

From the 20 year-charts of Gold one may take following implicit/possible buy/sell-"rules" /Weakness and strength points. The 5-year to 30-year seasonal studies show following weakness points of gold: Mid March, Mid June and to lower extend Mid October.

Gold seasonal Factors (monthly, 1984 - 2016)

On the other hand, strength points might be ("are"): The "magic" 19th February, Early June, Mid September, Mid November as said: the best point in the year...

Speaking about a 20-year-chart of GOLD, one may take a closer look at following chart, covering the 20-year AND the 30-year-period in the ...

Gold-Turnaround im Q1-2016?

Goldpreis-Snapshot (8. Feb. 2016)

Gold-Stabilisierung oder gar Rally im Q4-2015?

Gold per Okt. 2015 (Mag. Ralph Gollner)

Hedge Funds are holding First-Ever Gold Net-Short Position (July 2015)

After being net long all the way from USD 1900 to USD 1100, Bloomberg reports Hedge Funds Are Holding First-Ever Gold Net-Short Position.

Hedge funds are holding the first ever bet on a decline in gold prices since the U.S. government started collecting the data in 2006. (base-text by Mike Shedlock: / http://www.investing.com)

The funds and other speculators shifted to a net-short position of 11,345 contracts in New York futures and options in the week ended July 21, according to figures from the U.S. Commodity ...

Gold Seasonality (check out the 2nd half !)
source: seasonalcharts.com (30years history up to 2012)

As Dimitri Speck wrote in 2003 on the site http://www.gold-eagle.com there was no 'Gold: Second Half Increase' during the second half of the 1990s. Gold fell during those years. More, it is being manipulated by order of the central banks. Thus one cannot judge accurately, whether this seasonal pattern is valid at present.

Gold saisonal

NO NEED TO GET STRESSED ON GOLD !

GOLD_sma200_noStress

Related Articles

Gold Ratios

There are two gold and silver miners indices frequently referred to: Philadelphia Gold and Silver miners index with ticker ^XAU (data since Dec 19, 1983) and the AMEX Unhedged Gold Bugs Index with ticker ^HUI (data since Jun 04, 1996).

XAU/Gold ratio 2016 (versus 2013), Long-Term-HistoryThe Philadelphia Gold & Silver Index (XAU) is ...

Silber (2003 - April 2016)

Silber profitiert Marktbeobachtern zufolge von einer Wiederbelebung der Industrienachfrage insbesondere in China. Und mehr als die Hälfte der Nachfrage nach dem „Edelmetall des kleinen Mannes“ stammt aus diesem Bereich.

SILBER_2003_2016April29_rG_chart_TOOL_guidants.png (697×511)

Silber wird beispielsweise in Legierungen, ...

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, 1973 - 2015)

To stock market technicians, the Long-Term Chart below is the mother of all "descending wedge" patterns. It's the U.S. Dollar Index, as measured and reported monthly by the Treasury Department, going back more than four decades.

U.S. Dollar-Index (DXY) 1973 - 2015Please click for the BIG ...

Oil (WTI)

Die durch den Fracking-Boom in den USA mitausgelösten Überkapazitäten bei der Ölproduktion belasteten seit Sommer 2014 massiv den Ölpreis. Zuletzt führten Förderkürzungen aber wieder zu einer Stabilisierung.

Oil-WTI /(HY2/2014 - May 2016)

So sind die Rohöllagerbestände in den USA sind in der vergangenen Woche ...

Gold (2003 - Aug. 2016)

Solange der Goldpreis über 1.300 USD, bzw. zumindest 1.241 USD notiert, bzw. gar weiter ansteigt, erscheint GOLD in Zeiten wie diesen (Unsicherheit durch Geopolitik, Notenbankpolitik) eine sinnvolle Ergänzung.

GOLD (2003 - 3. Aug. 2016)

USDJPY (1972 - 3rd Aug. 2016)

For the most part, as goes the Yen over the past several years, so goes the carry trade - and risk-on assets. For example, the relationship between the Yen and equities has been very tight (on an inverse basis) over the recent years.

USDJPY Snapshot (1972 - 3rd Aug. 2016)

The relationship between ...

EUR/USD > 1,10 (Aug. 2016)

EURUSD > 1,10 (Aug. 2016); Snapshot 2013 - Aug. 2016

WTI-Öl (MACD-Signal im April 2016)
Monatschart

WTI-Öl (MACD-Signal im Monatschart im April 2016)

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above magic 100-level

The dollar rolled higher versus major rivals following upbeat data on durable goods orders and maintained gains after minutes of the Federal Reserve's November policy meeting...

DXY above the magic 100-level (23rd Nov. 2016), BigCharts.com - Chart

...reinforced expectations for a December rate increase. The U.S. ...

10year US, 2year US (study on FX-impact)

Very theoretic, but good to think about it; most recent yield steepness observed (rising since several weeks already). For information purposes: Shaded areas indicate U.S. recessions in the last decades.

Yield Curve (US 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), 1990 - Jan. 2017

Important to know also, that from a rising ...

Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, etc.)

Just for Info; HIGH (!!) RISK; At approximately 10:20 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday (2nd March 2017), the price of Bitcoin climbed to USD 1,241.30 which was an all-time high for the digital currency. At the same time, the spot price of gold sat...

Total market cap Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin & Co.), 5th March 2017

...

PPP (EUR/USD) - "fair" Value?

Die Frage stellt sich, ob und wie sich die aktuelle Inflationsdifferenz USA/Euroland auf den Kursverlauf des Euro/Dollar auswirken wird. Hier kommt die Realzinsdifferenz ins Spiel, die sowohl die Zins- als auch die Inflationsdifferenzberücksichtigt.

Realzinsdifferenz EUR/USD 2006 - Jan. 2017, "PPP", Kaufkraftparitätentheorie

Gerechnet ...

EUR/USD-Snapshot (März 2017)

Folgend einem Interviewduell zwischen den französischen Präsidentschaftskandidaten und den möglichen Gerüchten bzgl. eines möglichen (!) Auslaufens der expansiven EZB-Notenbankpolitik erstarkt der Euro wieder etwas...

EURUSD Snapshot (2015 - 03/2017)

Bitcoin versus Gold ("Global Market Cap")

The last time I mentioned Bitcoin on my site (6th March 2017), the price of Bitcoin climbed to USD 1,241. Some hours ago, Bitcoin passed the USD 2,000 level. Just for Info; HIGH (!!) RISK !

Gold MarketCap vs. Bitcoin MarketCap (21st May 2017), Image via "The Money Project" - comments added by Ralph Gollner

Disclaimer/Disclosure: Ralph Gollner hereby declares, that ...

This chart should put the size of bitcoin in perspective

Intro: Bill Gates's net worth still beats bitcoin's entire market cap; HowMuch.net on 21st June 2017 put things into perspective and demonstrated that for all the buzz and excitement bitcoin has generated, it still has a long way to...

Bitcoin versus Rest (May/June 2017) ...

EUR/USD in der Nähe von 1,19

Folgend der sehr langfristigen Durchschnittslinie auf Monatsbasis (EMA 200) befindet sich nun der Euro versus USD in einer spannenden technischen Region ("extreme resistance" zw. 1,185 bis 1,215).

EURUSD - magic levels between 1.19 and 1.21 (Aug. 2017)


link:

It's all about the "Euro" ?
www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-02