Private Investment

• RM

• The Intelligent Investor (Chapter 14)
• Dow Jones Ind. Average (Risk-Scenario Q1-2016)
• Learning by doing
• LTCM - Debacle (1998)
• DAX Y2K vs. Brexit/Bremain-Factor (23rd June 2016)
• BREXIT-voting - outcome for stocks
• Black Swan, Grey Swan, White Swan
• Keep calm and carry on
• The oldest bank in the world...(ITALIA)
• Alles wird gut (HOFFENTLICH!)
• What's your risk number?
• 2008 Market Crash (Diversification/Correlation)
• S&P 500 Verlustwahrscheinlichkeit / Anlagehorizont
• Be careful in your "1st years"
• Elliott-Wellen (Quick-Ideas)
• Artificial Inteligence Trading-System
• Travis Rice (Pro Snowboarder) on RISK
• Risk from election day until inauguration day
• The Mouse & the Cheese (Risk-Taking)
• Drawdowns (20year-period)
• Diversification (Number of stocks)
• Max. Drawdowns im Jahr 2016
• Kindergartenbörse (Max. Drawdown S&P 500)
• VUKA
• S&P 500 Risk (period: 1926 - 2016)
• 40 stocks & Diversification
• DAX, Dow Jones (Rücksetzer, "Drawdowns")
• DAX im Okt. 2017 (& Q4-2017)
• Meine 3 ersten Jahre an der Börse (2000 bis 2003)
• DAX - EOM-Indikator
• Anlagehorizont als RM-tool
• Potential Black Swans (Jan. 2018)
• Ein Mehr an bio-logischer Resilienz
• DAX Aktienmarkt (Risiko / Stressphasen)
• Tail Risks
• Geopolitical Risks (Black Swans since 1939)
• What goes up (2017), can come down (Q1-2018)
• Timing the stock-investments (Mag. R. Gollner)
• SKS-Formation (Charttechnik)
• 100 shots (gotta take some...)
• Black Swans (small swans)
• Trade war (?) - Risk
• Biggest Tail Risk (Aug. 2018-Survey)
• Definition of Risk (W. Buffet)

Probabilites for success (> 69% ?)

Warren Buffet was lucky *g* He was born with the ability to THINK LONGTERM ! As an example I am showing following 10years-periods to show the probability to achieve positive yearly gains, while only following a Stock-Index:

After having checked that the period 2006 up to 2015 was not such a BAD one for investing for 10years-in-a-row (even Buy & Hold through the big financial crisis of 2008), I also want to show another 10 year-period which is ALSO NOT even covering the marvellous '80s and '90 of the last century: